Scenarios and Reports

Future of Philanthropy

Abstract

This report shares the findings from the Future of Philanthropy Open Foresight research project. It identifies and discusses some common challenges today, and also explores several shared ambitions. What is clear from all our discussions is that we are seeing a fundamental shift in when we give, how we give, how we receive and how change is created through philanthropy. In addition, the report highlights several important emerging opportunities such as the rise of the global elite, the increasing influence of female philanthropists and the increasing demand for transparency. 

 

Future of Philanthropy

Topic
Models and Methods
Scenarios and Reports
Additional Resources

Future Today Institute

Abstract

Founded in 2006, the Future Today Institute helps leaders and their organizations prepare for complex futures. FTI focuses exclusively on how emerging technology and science will disrupt business, transform the workforce and ignite social and geopolitical change. FTI’s forecasting methodology has been featured in the MIT Sloan Management Review and in the Harvard Business Review, and it is taught at universities around the world. 

Future Today Institute Methodology

2017 Tech Trends Report

Topic
Models and Methods
Environmental Scanning and Trend Analysis
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations

Global Foresight Wiki: Global Foresight.org

Abstract

This wiki is a public directory of the world's best foresight resources, compiled for your benefit. It lists communities, degree programs, courses, people, employers, organizations, and educational materials that help advance our global foresight culture. It can be edited by any future-oriented person who wants to help. It is maintained by FERN, volunteer students, alums and advocates of improving foresight and supporting the graduate and certificate programs in foresight around the world. The founders also run a social network, Global Foresight @ LinkedIn. 

Global Foresight Wiki

Small Fusion  Group Start Up Guide (4 persons)

Large Fusion Group Start Up Guide (28 persons)

Topic
Theory and Concepts
Models and Methods
Environmental Scanning and Trend Analysis
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations
Futurists
Additional Resources
Community Collaborations Works in Progress

Guide Book for Nurse Futurists Institute for Alternative Futures

Abstract

This guide book was developed by the International Council of Nurses (ICN ) in partnership with the Institute for Alternative Futures. It provides a step by step process for nurses to use  in creating scenarios about desired futures. The Exercises for National Nursing Associations (NNA) Planning are the centrepiece of this Guidebook. The other material will prepare you for the exercises, but it is doing the exercises that will clarify your aspirations and generate creative new ideas for your NNA. You can use the exercises as a starting point for a major strategic planning effort in your NNA, or you can use them more informally to generate ideas for new activities. However you use them, they will help you think further into the future than you ever usually do. Thinking further ahead will give you an opportunity to dream bigger dreams and come back to the present with a new perspective on what may be worth doing. 

Guide Book for Nurse Futurists -Institute for Alternative Futures

Topic
Models and Methods
Environmental Scanning and Trend Analysis
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations

Health and Health Care in 2032: Report from the RWJF Futures Symposium June 20-21, 2012

Abstract

What will health and health care look like in the U.S. in the year 2032? It is a complex question, particularly given the immediate challenges facing the U.S. today. We are nowhere near being the healthiest nation on earth and we are all too aware of health care costs that continue to rise faster than inflation.  Scenarios are stories describing how the future may unfold in different ways. They help us view the dynamic systems around us in more complex terms that accept uncertainty, and then clarify and challenge the assumptions about what we can do. We have carried many assumptions with us from the past that constrain our thinking about options for the future. While the future is inherently uncertain, scenarios help us bound that uncertainty into a limited number of likely paths. We can then explore the uncertainty to find the opportunities and challenges that might otherwise surprise us. People and organizations who work with scenarios find more creative options than those who develop plans based only on the past and present.The Institute for Alternative Futures works with many organizations to foster foresight, understanding and action through scenario development.

Health and Health Care in 2032: Report from the RWJF Futures Symposium June 20-21, 2012

Public Health 2030 Scenario

Human Service and Progress 2035

 

Topic
Scenarios and reports

Healthy People 2030

Abstract

Healthy People provides science-based, 10-year national objectives for improving the health of all Americans. For 3 decades, Healthy People has established benchmarks and monitored progress over time in order to: Encourage collaborations across communities and sectors. Empower individuals toward making informed health decisions. Measure the impact of prevention activities.

Healthy People

Healthy People 2030

Topic
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations
Additional Resources

Knowledge Works Foundation

Abstract

Knowledge Works partners with school districts and communities to deliver innovative, collaborative personalized learning opportunities for students through competency-based education. The organization helps administrators and educators create a community-wide plan to achieve their vision, understand opportunities for professional development and system alignment and build capacity to sustain personalized learning practices. By looking ahead to the future of learning and work, transforming policy and growing educator impact, the Knowledge Works organization helps policymakers and communities create a foundation for systemic change.

Future of Education Forecast

Tool Kit for Exploring the Future

Resources

Topic
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations
Additional Resources

Learning to Use the Future: Developing Foresight Capabilities Through Scenario Processes

Abstract

Organizational learning is one type of value created by scenarios and strategic foresight within companies. However, relatively little attention has been devoted to what and how individuals – such as managers and strategists – learn from participation within strategic scenario processes. The paper focuses on the learning effects of scenario processes on participants, using the Futures Literacy Hybrid Strategic Scenario (FLHSS) method. It presents an evaluative framework for capturing the learning and cognitive effects of using the imaginary future, and the learning benefits derived by participants in intensive scenario processes. The paper outlines how scenario activities change the capabilities of the individuals and organizational systems to understand the nature and role of the future for what they perceive and what they do. Cognition is the domain of the individual rather than the organization and, as a result, the micro processes through which individuals learn and challenge mental models appear to be antecedent resources to collective mental model changes within organizations. This suggests that companies should invest in pedagogically rich scenario processes that develop the capability of managers to sense changes. The learning generated by scenario processes can strengthen the ‘sensing’ dynamic capabilities of organizations.

Learning to use the Future: Developing Foresight Capabilities Through Scenarios Processes

Topic
Models and Methods
Environmental Scanning and Trend Analysis
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations
Futurists

MIllenium Issues and Nursing Leadership

Abstract

This Future Think column written in 1999 invites nurse leaders to exert influence and become involved in the Millenium Project. Nurses are uniquely positioned to lead and influence many of the global Millenium goals. The piece calls for nurses to use the Robert Dilts Logical Levels Model of Leadership to ascertain the center of gravity of issues whether they be environmental, behavioral or at the value- belief, identity, mission, or greater purpose level and shift the conversation to be more strategic in solving problems at the most meaningful logical level.

Millenium Issues and Nursing Leadership

Topic
Theory and Concepts
Models and Methods
Environmental Scanning and Trend Analysis
Scenarios and reports

Practical Guide to Regional Foresight in the United Kingdom

Abstract

This Guide is an introduction to Foresight. The Guide is oriented to those involved in forward planning and strategy development at regional and other subnational territorial levels. It is aimed specifically at potential Foresight practitioners and users. It sets out to explain how regional Foresight can be implemented to provide inputs to strategy and policy planning in regions, municipalities or localities, as well as to mobilize collective strategic actions.The guide provides basic concepts, discusses types of foresight, and strategies for implementation of foresight processes. Case studies are used to illustrate applied concepts. In addition there is an extensive bibliography and additional website links and useful resources

Practical Guide to Regional Foresight in the United Kingdom

Topic
Theory and Concepts
Models and Methods
Environmental Scanning and Trend Analysis
Scenarios and reports
Future Organizations
Additional Resources

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